Investment Research & Insights

Insights

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Between 9 September 2008 – a few days before the collapse of Lehman Brothers – and 27 May 2020, the… Read more
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09 Apr 2020  |  

Beyond the pandemic

The coronavirus pandemic is a major shock to the world economy and financial markets. Its impact… Read more
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A key focus of 2020 will, we think, be ‘green spending’. It is set to move to the forefront in… Read more

Inviews

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In this publication we consider significant developments in the world’s markets, and discuss our key… Read more
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11 May 2020  |  

Inview - Global House View - May

In this publication we consider significant developments in the world’s markets, and discuss our key… Read more
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In this publication we consider significant developments in the world’s markets, and discuss our key… Read more
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In this publication we consider significant developments in the world’s markets, and discuss our key… Read more Inview_Feb_2020.pdf (1.56 MB)
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The discontinuation of the Swiss franc/euro minimum exchange rate policy by the Swiss National Bank… Read more
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In this publication we consider significant developments in the world’s markets, and discuss our key… Read more Inview Jan 2020.pdf (1.32 MB)

Outlooks

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20 Dec 2019  |  

2020 Outlook

Each December, we review the Outlook we presented a year earlier. In 2019 our predictions proved… Read more

Macro Flash Notes

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Few could have anticipated the spread and impact of the novel… Read more
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24 Jun 2020  |  

Brexit Note

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08 Jun 2020  |  

ECB: Mind the gap

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Investor sentiment has understandably been dominated this year with all manner of things related to… Read more
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Argentina faces once again the prospect of a sovereign debt default, the ninth in its history. The… Read more
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After months of discussion, the European Recovery Fund negotiation is entering a decisive stage. The… Read more
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In this Macro Flash Note, GianLuigi Mandruzzatto looks at different ways to profit from the higher oil prices.… Read more
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17 Apr 2020  |  

Playing chicken with Turkey

The risks to financial sustainability in Turkey have risen in the last few weeks. The main reason for concern is the drawdown of foreign currency reserves following the central bank's attempt to support the Turkish lira amid high global uncertainty.… Read more
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In this Macro Flash Note, Daniel Murray and Joaquin Thul discuss the IMF's latest forecasts and compare with some recently produced private sector estimates.… Read more
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15 Apr 2020  |  

Tourism, public debt and Covid19

It is now recognised that once the coronavirus epidemic has been brought under control and health systems are no longer under stress, many governments will decide to gradually reopen their economies.… Read more