The term structure and growth across the world

293 days ago (16 Sep 2019)  |  

Much attention has been paid to the recent inversion of the US term structure as captured by the spread between the short end (three-month) and long end (ten-year) of the curve, but what do we know about the information content of the slope of the term structure outside of the US? Stefan Gerlach examines the signals for growth in selected countries outside the US.

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